Market Cycles And Regimes
When to Hold Cash or Defensive Assets
Understand when to hold cash, Treasury bills, defensive stocks, or gold. Learn opportunity costs, regime triggers, and disciplined redeployment strategies.
intermediate 2026-01-12
Market Cycles And Regimes
20 articles in this subtopic.
Market Cycles And Regimes
Building Regime Models for Portfolios
Learn to construct simple regime-based allocation models using trend, volatility, and macro indicators while avoiding common backtesting pitfalls.
advanced 2026-01-01
Market Cycles And Regimes
Lessons from Historical Crashes
Every major market crash feels unprecedented while you're living through it -- and every single one has been followed by a recovery that rewarded investors who …
intermediate 2025-12-29
Market Cycles And Regimes
Business Cycle Stages and Market Behavior
Learn how the four phases of the business cycle affect stocks, bonds, and commodities, plus key indicators to identify each stage.
beginner 2025-12-24
Market Cycles And Regimes
Credit Cycle Evolution and Signals
Understand the four stages of the credit cycle, from repair through downturn, and learn which signals help investors anticipate credit market transitions.
intermediate 2025-12-21
Market Cycles And Regimes
Monitoring Market Breadth and Internals
Price indexes tell you where the market went. Breadth tells you how it got there—and whether you should trust the move. When the S&P 500 rallied to new highs in…
intermediate 2025-12-07
Market Cycles And Regimes
Seasonality Patterns in US Markets
Examine historical seasonal patterns in US stocks, including Sell in May, the January effect, and holiday periods, along with their statistical limitations.
beginner 2025-12-06
Market Cycles And Regimes
Playbooks for Late-Cycle Investing
How to identify late-cycle environments and adjust portfolios toward defensive positioning, quality assets, and reduced risk exposure.
intermediate 2025-12-04
Market Cycles And Regimes
Commodities as Cycle Signals
Learn how copper, oil, gold, and commodity indexes signal economic cycle turns. Understand Dr. Copper, oil demand correlation, and gold as a risk indicator.
intermediate 2025-12-01
Market Cycles And Regimes
Factor Leadership Across Market Cycles
Explore how value, growth, size, quality, and momentum factors rotate leadership across market cycles and what drives these systematic return patterns.
intermediate 2025-11-28
Market Cycles And Regimes
Recession Indicators Investors Monitor
Discover the key economic indicators investors track to anticipate recessions, from yield curves to jobless claims and PMI readings.
beginner 2025-11-23
Market Cycles And Regimes
Inflationary vs. Deflationary Regimes
Explore how inflation and deflation regimes affect asset class performance and learn portfolio positioning strategies for each environment.
intermediate 2025-11-22
Market Cycles And Regimes
Liquidity Regimes and Financial Conditions
Learn how Federal Reserve liquidity measures and financial conditions indices affect asset valuations and market behavior.
intermediate 2025-11-20
Market Cycles And Regimes
Using Risk-On/Risk-Off Dashboards
Learn to build and interpret risk-on/risk-off dashboards using VIX, credit spreads, USD, and Treasury yields to identify market regimes.
intermediate 2025-11-18
Market Cycles And Regimes
Secular Bull and Bear Market Definitions
Understand the difference between secular and cyclical market trends, with historical examples from 1982-2000 and 2000-2013.
intermediate 2025-11-08
Market Cycles And Regimes
Sentiment Indicators and Positioning Data
In March 2009, the AAII bullish reading dropped to 18.9% while the S&P 500 sat at 676. Eleven years later, on March 23, 2020, the VIX hit 66, the put-call ratio…
intermediate 2025-11-06
Market Cycles And Regimes
Volatility Regimes and VIX Thresholds
Learn how VIX levels define volatility regimes, from calm markets below 15 to crisis conditions above 30, and what each regime means for investors.
intermediate 2025-10-25
Market Cycles And Regimes
Glossary: Market Cycle Terminology
Master 50 essential market cycle terms covering cycle phases, economic indicators, regimes, and investment strategies with clear, practical definitions.
beginner 2025-10-20
Market Cycles And Regimes
Yield Curve Inversions and Timing Lags
Understand why the yield curve inverts before recessions, compare 2s10s vs 3m10s spreads, and analyze historical lead times and market performance.
intermediate 2025-09-17
Market Cycles And Regimes
Opportunistic Strategies Post-Recession
Recessions destroy wealth in predictable patterns, and recoveries rebuild it in equally predictable ones. The investors who capture the most value aren't the on…
intermediate 2025-09-09