Case Studies

Case Studies

Forensic Trade Analysis

Every case study dissects a real trade from setup to exit — what was visible at entry, what surprised along the way, and what the outcome revealed about the gap between thesis and reality.

26 Case Studies
16 Tickers
80–25 Years
17 Gains
8 Losses
AMZN
-1.5%

The Round Trip: Amazon's 2025 Summer Rally

Amazon's 2025 summer rally surged 24% in May before consolidating. Learn how this AI-driven cloud stock setup evolved and what traders should watch next.

Entry$214.75
Exit$213.04
Date2025-05-05
BBY
+24.3%

Best Buy's 2025 Comeback: Buying the Consumer Electronics Dip

Best Buy hit $64-65 support in July 2025 after a sharp pullback. Heavy volume signaled capitulation, not distribution. Here's how the bounce trade played out.

Entry$64.12
Exit$79.71
Date2025-05-05
GOOG
+30.5%

Riding the AI Wave: Google's 2025 Breakout

Analyze Google's 2025 breakout from $54 to $94, fueled by AI optimism. Learn how traders navigated the 26% rally using volume and resistance signals.

Entry$194.41
Exit$253.79
Date2025-05-05
IBM
+8.1%

Testing the Dip: IBM's 2025 Recovery Play

IBM dropped 26 points in one week after a massive rally. Was this violent selloff a warning sign or a buying opportunity? A case study in reading post-crash ...

Entry$260.30
Exit$281.28
Date2025-05-05
INTC
+77.8%

The Turnaround Trade: Intel's 2025 Surge

Discover how Intel surged from $19 to $30+ in late 2025, driven by foundry wins and government subsidies. A case study in turnaround trading timing.

Entry$20.82
Exit$37.01
Date2025-05-05
MSFT
-2.0%

Chasing the Breakout: Microsoft's 2025 Peak Entry

Discover how chasing Microsoft's 17% rally and AI-fueled breakout in July 2025 led to a costly lesson in buying at the peak of momentum.

Entry$524.11
Exit$513.58
Date2025-05-05
NVDA
+5.5%

The AI Leader in Consolidation: NVIDIA's 2025 Summer Trade

Explore how a swing trade on NVIDIA in summer 2025 captured gains during AI-driven consolidation, with entry timing, risk management, and exit strategy.

Entry$173.72
Exit$183.22
Date2025-05-05
ORCL
+19.2%

Catching the Cloud Breakout: Oracle's 2025 Surge

Discover how Oracle's 2025 cloud transformation and AI-driven demand fueled a major stock breakout, with key lessons for spotting execution-backed rallies.

Entry$244.42
Exit$291.31
Date2025-05-05
AAPL
+9.0%

Into the Storm: Apple's 2025 China Challenge

Apple's 2025 China crisis: How Huawei competition, Fed hawkishness, and tariff risks tested an 11-month buy-and-hold position near all-time highs.

Entry$231.46
Exit$252.29
Duration11 months
Date2024-11-25
MSFT
+23.4%

The Year-Long Journey: Microsoft's 2024-2025 Ride

Explore Microsoft's 2024-2025 journey: a promising AI-driven entry point met volatile markets, testing investor conviction over 52 weeks of dramatic ups and ...

Entry$416.12
Exit$513.58
Date2024-10-21
CRWD
-1.42%

Blue Screen of Death: CrowdStrike's Global Outage and the Price of Trust

CrowdStrike's catastrophic global outage and recovery: How a faulty update crashed 8.5 million machines worldwide yet the stock recovered from $200 to near breakeven in just 14 weeks.

Entry$304.96
Exit$300.62
Duration14 weeks
Date2024-07-15
F
-9.5%

Built Tough, But Not Enough: Ford's EV Dream Meets the Picket Line

Ford's EV momentum met reality as UAW strikes, rising costs, and profit warnings sent the stock tumbling. A case study in legacy auto's EV transition risks.

Entry$12.66
Exit$11.46
Duration7 months
Date2023-06-05
NVDA
+18.15%

The $4 Billion Whisper: How One Earnings Call Ignited the AI Trade

NVIDIA's AI earnings shock: A $4 billion guidance beat that ignited the AI trade and launched the company toward $1 trillion market cap in one explosive quarter.

Entry$38.95
Exit$46.02
Duration3 months
Date2023-05-22
NFLX
+2.28%

The Subscriber Reckoning: Netflix's Growth Myth Shatters

Netflix's first subscriber loss crisis: How the streaming giant lost 200,000 subscribers, crashed 37%, yet recovered on better-than-feared Q2 results and strategic pivots.

Entry$215.52
Exit$220.44
Duration13 weeks
Date2022-04-18
SPY
-15.15%

Twenty-Two Days: The Fastest Crash in History and the Fed's Bazookas

The COVID crash: The fastest 30% market decline in history, followed by the Fed's unprecedented "unlimited QE" response that marked the exact bottom on March 23, 2020.

Entry$333.48
Exit$282.97
Duration9 weeks
Date2020-02-17
AMD
+2.6%

The Crypto Hangover: AMD's 100% Rally Meets the Fed's Wrecking Ball

AMD doubled in 9 weeks on Ryzen and EPYC momentum, then round-tripped as crypto GPU revenue collapsed and the Fed crushed risk appetite.

Entry$16.50
Exit$16.93
Duration5 months
Date2018-07-16
ACN
+8.3%

Buying the Dip: Accenture After the 2018 Selloff

Accenture dropped 9% in early 2018 as VIX spikes and trade-war fears hit. With strong fundamentals intact, was this selloff a buying opportunity or a warning...

Entry$147.38
Exit$159.63
Date2018-01-08
ACN
+3.8%

Accenture's 2018 Volatility Test

Accenture stock weathered 2018's VIX spike, trade wars, and Fed hikes after hitting highs near $157. See how the consulting giant navigated the volatility.

Entry$157.67
Exit$163.59
Duration6 months
Date2017-06-05
IBM
+3.5%

The Long Road Back: IBM's 2015-2016 Journey

IBM's brutal transformation struggle: A 21% drawdown through China's devaluation, Fed rate hikes, and oil collapse while pivoting to cloud computing against fierce competition.

Entry$148.17
Exit$153.42
Duration52 weeks
Date2015-08-03
MSFT
-8.4%

Caught in the Storm: Microsoft's Late 2014 Challenge

Discover how Microsoft weathered late 2014's perfect storm—Fed tightening, oil collapse, and a surging dollar—during Nadella's early cloud transformation.

Entry$47.88
Exit$43.86
Date2014-09-01
WMT
+11.0%

Buying the Dip: Walmart's 2014 Holiday Rally

Walmart stock dropped 25% in mid-2014, then formed a base before the holiday season. Learn how this classic dip-buy setup played out for investors.

Entry$26.10
Exit$28.97
Date2014-07-14
WMT
-2.0%

The Slow Fade: Walmart's 2013 Range Trade

Walmart's 2013 range trade: a 9% climb to new highs, then a slow fade back. Learn how this defensive stalwart tested investor patience in a choppy market.

Entry$25.00
Exit$24.50
Date2013-01-07
GOOG
+19.0%

Google's 2013 Mobile Moment

Google's 2013 mobile transformation: Navigating Android dominance, YouTube monetization, and CPC compression amid Fed taper fears and a supportive QE3 backdrop.

Entry$18.49
Exit$22.01
Duration6 months
Date2012-06-04
NVDA
+20%

Before the AI Boom: NVIDIA's 2012-2013 Chapter

NVIDIA's pre-AI era: A gaming GPU company trading cyclically on Kepler architecture gains and PC market volatility before the data center transformation.

Entry$0.30
Exit$0.36
Duration6 months
Date2012-06-04
ORCL
-11.3%

The Cloud Transition Trap: Oracle's 2013 Struggle

Oracle's cloud transition stumble: Two earnings misses and Sun hardware weakness exposed execution gaps while SaaS competitors like Salesforce surged ahead.

Entry$34.61
Exit$30.71
Duration6 months
Date2012-06-04

Silver Thursday and the Hunt Brothers Corner

How two Texas oil heirs attempted to corner the global silver market, drove prices up 713%, and nearly collapsed the American financial system.

Peak$49.45/oz
Date1980-03-27