Interest Rate and Treasury Futures Primer
Treasury futures control $100,000 of notional on 1-3% margin, so hedges live or die on conversion factors, cheapest-to-deliver switches, and basis risk.
20 articles in this subtopic.
Treasury futures control $100,000 of notional on 1-3% margin, so hedges live or die on conversion factors, cheapest-to-deliver switches, and basis risk.
Futures require 3–7% margin to control full notional exposure. ETFs demand 50–100%. Swaps sit somewhere in between—but with higher operational overhead.
Every futures position you hold gets repriced against you—or in your favor—twice per day.
Position limits exist because markets learned the hard way what happens without them.
The cost-of-carry equation decomposes futures spreads into storage, financing, and convenience yield, explaining why WTI settled at -$37.63 in April 2020.
Every futures contract you trade carries a hidden operational question: what happens at expiration?
Every derivatives position you take involves a choice most traders never think about explicitly: where the contract lives.
Twenty-seven futures terms defined at practitioner level, from basis risk to mark-to-market, with the daily margin-call chain that hits real accounts.
Futures tickers encode product, month, and year in a few characters, and knowing First Notice Day keeps rolls ahead of physical delivery risk.
Margin—the performance bond required to hold a futures position—is where most new derivatives traders get blindsided.
Exchange-recognized spreads cut futures margin to 5-25% of outright rates, but unrecognized legs earn zero credit and tail events can blow past them.
Currency risk silently erodes international portfolio returns—and most investors discover it only after the damage is done.
Hedging converts price risk into basis risk, which clusters in the tails; minimum-variance ratios and daily basis monitoring keep the residual contained.
Most futures and options traders focus on entry signals, position sizing, and risk management—then get blindsided by the tax bill.
Futures backtests overstate returns when they ignore margin spikes, contract rolls, and slippage; walk-forward validation exposes overfit systems.
Contract size, tick value, margin, and settlement terms are the rails of every futures trade, as the April 2020 negative WTI settlement made clear.
Equity index futures turn idle cash into synthetic S&P 500 beta at roughly 22:1 leverage, provided you manage margin buffers, roll costs, and basis risk.
Block trades and EFPs move large futures positions off the public order book, governed by CME minimums, 5-minute reporting windows, and CFTC records rules.
Seasonal futures patterns are real but priced into the curve; the durable edge is managing margin spikes, doubled volatility, and basis risk.
Calendar spreads trade the gap between futures expiration months at 15-25% of outright margin; roll timing follows predictable liquidity shifts.